http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. Great article, and I had a nice chuckle at some of the sentiments of those who took the time to comment. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. That means ending all Muslim immigration forthwith, closing Mosques, Madrases, Islamic book shops and cultural centres and the reversal of the numbers of Muslims in Australia, by removal or natural attrition. Power Disparities and Paradoxical Conflict Outcomes. International Interactions, Philadelphia: Taylor and Francis, 1986,12, 315-342. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. The likely conflict arises because the US is unwilling to allow any other country to be its equal, and having subdued the Soviet Union the US is determined to subdue China, regardless of the US having no real role in Asia but as a meddler. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is based implausible. There is much China could gain from such an overt act as part of a grand strategy of preponderance; to force Australia to rethink its US ties; to gain greater access to Australias resources upon which it depends; as a signal to regional enemies that it is the force to be reckoned with; and to show regional allies it is the most powerful and dynamic actor. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. By Alan Dupont. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . China has moved in a truly global direction and is on a pathway that was triggered, and then further stimulated, by Premier Deng Xiaoping who started the process in the mid-1980s. There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. New York: Free Press, 1992. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. Australia cut. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. In fact it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history . Hint, you have to disregard your sordid trainwreck of conceit and bile and adopt a viewpoint removed from spiteful recriminations. I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. Updated at 01.00 EST You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. I must admit I skimmed this piece. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris: OECD, 2003, 258. For Australia the decisions that will have to be made, in order to totally avoid an outbreak of war one in which Australia for all intent and purposes will inevitably lose and one that would encourage a ground invasion by Chinese forces is where to place China as these regional machinations increase? Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. 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Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. A sad state of affairs. [10] Herein lies the problem that Australia in the first instance and the Western world in the second, will have to face: if China is not offered a more prominent of rightful place in the schemata of world strategies/politics a massive disruption will occur as China will react to any moves by other nation-states to retard its progress. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. Nuh still something wrong. Sun 27 Feb 2022 00.26 EST First published on Sat 26 Feb 2022 19.57 EST The prime minister, Scott Morrison, has announced that Australia will provide funds for "lethal aid" to Ukraine's war. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. "Our judgement at least is that (China's . Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? !! The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. I kind of see it from the opposite angle. War is inevitable. Writing in the national business daily, the Australian Financial Review, international relations specialist James Curran asks a different question.What lessons should Australia draw from Vladimir Putin's invasion for managing a comparable crisis in Taiwan? Gosh and golly. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. Roger October 23, 2015 at 2:28 pm. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. But the nation is not in a good place. But you cant do that, youre just a whining shitbag like the entire PUP. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. America, as a standalone country comprised at this time, 4.6% of the worlds population. He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. [9] Ezra Vogel. Nevertheless, Britain still gained what it needed and the British people benefited the middle-class continued. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. 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